大規模風電場的可靠性模型研究
朱紅，周冬旭，羅興
(南京供電公司，江蘇 南京 210019)
摘 要： 為更真實地模擬風電場的實際運行情況，在充分考慮風電機組停運的氣候相依性、尾流效應以及不同型號風機對風電場可靠性的影響情況下，基于通用生成函數方法建立了風電場的可靠性模型，引入并計算了新的風電場可靠性指標，將其結果與Monte Carlo 方法進行比較，驗證了所提方法的準確性，為風電場的規劃和并網運行提供了新的思路。
關鍵詞： 通用生成函數；風電場；可靠性模型
中圖分類號：TM614 文獻標識碼： A 文章編號：1007-3175(2014)11-0006-05
Study on Reliability Model of Large-Scale Wind Farm
ZHU Hong, ZHOU Dong-xu, LUO Xing
（Nanjing Power Supply Company, Nanjing 210019, China）
Abstract: In order to truly analog the actual operation conditions of wind farm and in full consideration of wind power generation forced outage caused by weather effect, wake effects and different types of wind power generation with impacts conditions on wind farm reliability, this paper introduced and calculated the new wind farm reliability index, its result being compared with Monte Carlo method, which verified correctness of the method mentioned to provide new thinking way for wind farm planning and grid connection operation.
Key words: universal generating function; wind farm; reliability model
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